Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 15.901937 18.128176 20.513438 23.254448 26.312353 29.613879 33.443117
2024-10-06 13.713962 16.927836 20.609780 25.120684 30.477529 36.614085 44.153064
2024-10-13 11.413136 15.173094 19.755599 25.706235 33.178535 42.196180 53.841265
2024-10-20 9.175343 13.109595 18.198475 25.181015 34.417565 46.110917 61.910304
2024-10-27 7.354107 11.268705 16.630205 24.380973 35.144269 49.384795 69.434970
2024-11-03 6.530404 10.649742 16.583751 25.561006 38.559152 56.412780 82.435671
2024-11-10 6.161874 10.623622 17.344737 27.925384 43.808894 66.336973 100.152940
2024-11-17 5.595390 10.194693 17.434903 29.283094 47.700153 74.634593 116.207238
2024-11-24 4.854043 9.358052 16.772300 29.386664 49.685642 80.282111 128.811014
2024-12-01 4.092225 8.356645 15.700624 28.690711 50.322711 83.907707 138.607440
2024-12-08 3.558742 7.671027 15.057336 28.599245 51.866936 88.972898 150.865423
2024-12-15 3.179857 7.210135 14.737592 29.000963 54.217364 95.418176 165.629836
2024-12-22 2.780163 6.656012 14.202849 29.009492 55.979491 101.169718 179.903225
2024-12-29 2.619375 6.568441 14.533511 30.623413 60.667298 112.066225 203.259194
2025-01-05 2.328437 6.149105 14.162210 30.876888 62.944037 119.055476 220.579463
2025-01-12 1.968465 5.504820 13.246363 29.967421 62.996474 122.202355 231.581751
2025-01-19 1.646351 4.883047 12.284655 28.843389 62.519627 124.348256 240.946561
2025-01-26 1.545400 4.791812 12.462263 30.076105 66.676083 135.060855 265.969741
2025-02-02 1.547111 4.968727 13.263604 32.703598 73.777887 151.569714 302.215044
2025-02-09 1.469649 4.917717 13.529859 34.193639 78.697621 164.300007 332.262811
2025-02-16 1.315452 4.621310 13.173482 34.265263 80.712734 171.666357 352.848693
2025-02-23 1.133296 4.202872 12.457573 33.437314 80.768135 175.260674 366.579891
2025-03-02 1.008237 3.929112 12.065274 33.311550 82.291017 181.770953 386.111260